地震危机令日本陷入衰退

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地震危机令日本陷入衰退

Friday, May 20, 2011

昨天的数据显示，由于日本受到地震、海啸和核危机的影响，经济明显萎缩，第一季度日本经济陷入衰退。

与前一季度相比，日本国内生产总值下降0.9%，为连续第二个季度萎缩。经济学家认为这是技术性衰退，经济降幅按全年计算相当于下降3.7%。

灾后，日本工业产值呈现迄今最大跌幅，而由于消费和营商信心下挫，消费也暴跌。

某分析师认为，由于地震后全国的供应链问题令生产中断，加上电力中断问题，第二季度低迷情况将会恶化。

经济研究机构Capital Economics表示，日本经济本已疲弱，3月11日地震的全面影响刚开始体现在GDP数据中。

Quake crisis sends Japan tumbling into recession

Some analysts fear the worst is yet to come as nationwide supply-chain woes and power supply disruptions hit home

Japan's economy plunged back into recession in the first quarter, contracting sharply on the impact of the nation's biggest recorded earthquake, a tsunami and a nuclear crisis, data showed yesterday.

      Gross domestic product dropped 0.9 per cent compared with the previous three months and marked the second consecutive quarter of contraction, which economists define as a technical recession. The drop was equivalent to a 3.7 per cent fall on an annualised basis.

      In the aftermath of the disasters, industrial output saw its biggest-ever fall and spending plunged as consumer and business confidence took a tumble.

      Many analysts see the downturn worsening in the second quarter, as nationwide supply-chain problems in the wake of the quake continue to disrupt production, and the threat of power supply disruption prevails.

"The economy was weak before the earthquake struck on March 11 and the full impact of that catastrophe has only just begun to be reflected in the GDP data," Capital Economics noted.

While fears of an electricity supply-demand imbalance going into the summer months have eased slightly, the situation remains volatile, analysts warn.

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